Peter Warburton Economist and financial markets writer Currency Information

Peter Warburton is an editor and economist at Currency Information covering exchange rates, inflation, central banks, interest rates and global financial conditions.

Peter Warburton

25 articles

Editor

Economist and financial markets writer

Peter.Warburton@currencyinformation.org

Peter Warburton is an economist and financial writer covering currencies, inflation, interest rates, central banks, and global financial conditions. He examines how changes in policy and markets affect businesses, savers, borrowers, and people making everyday decisions involving money.

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Education

University of York
 Peter Warburton studied economics at the University of York, where he developed an interest in monetary policy, financial markets, and the way economic decisions affect households and businesses. His professional background includes work with a regional banking research team, an independent economic consultancy, and a business-focused financial publication. He now writes about exchange rates, inflation, interest-rate policy, central banks, government debt, and the financial pressures shaping national currencies. His approach combines economic context with a practical assessment of risk, separating confirmed developments from forecasts and market assumptions. He aims to help readers understand not only why financial conditions are changing, but also what those changes may mean for borrowing costs, savings, international payments, and purchasing power. 

Areas of Expertise

  • Monetary Policy How central banks use interest rates, liquidity measures, and other policy instruments to influence inflation, economic activity, credit conditions, and currency stability.
  • Foreign Exchange Market The global market in which currencies are exchanged and valued, including the economic, political, and financial forces that influence exchange-rate movements.
  • Inflation Changes in the general price level and their effects on purchasing power, savings, borrowing, wages, interest rates, and monetary-policy decisions.

25 latest articles by Peter Warburton

Indian rupee stays under pressure as RBI reserves grow

MUFG and Goldman Sachs expect the Indian rupee to keep weakening against the US dollar through 2027. The RBI's bigger reserves help steady the currency but aren't enough to stop the slide.

I&M Bank pushes digital trade finance upgrade with Surecomp

I&M Bank is rolling out a digital trade finance system with Surecomp, looking to speed up business in Kenya and expand to Tanzania, Rwanda, Uganda, and Mauritius.

French debt fears shake euro area bond markets

French government bond yields have jumped as investors demand bigger risk premiums. France's rising debt costs are now front and center in euro area markets, challenging the old view of French bonds as a safe bet.

Euro stuck near lows as US rate edge grows

The euro can't shake off losses after the US Federal Reserve's latest rate hike. Softer ECB outlook and a shrinking yield gap are making it tough for EUR/USD to bounce back.

Paymob lands $35 million to push digital payments across MENA

Paymob has raised $35 million in pre-Series C funding to speed up its digital payment rollout for businesses in Egypt, Saudi Arabia, the UAE, Oman, and Pakistan. The company wants to reach more merchants across the MENA region.

Denmark completes first AI agent payment as Danske Bank and Mastercard move ahead

An AI agent has made a full payment in Denmark using Mastercard's Agent Pay and Danske Bank. The move puts new focus on security, transparency, and how much control consumers will have as digital payments change.

Hungary set to lower inflation target as forint tracks energy swings

Hungary's central bank is expected to cut its inflation target to 2.5 percent this week. Goldman Sachs says this could help the forint, which has moved in step with energy prices lately.

Deutsche Bank signals further dollar weakness against yuan and yen

Deutsche Bank forecasts continued US dollar losses against the Chinese yuan and Japanese yen, while anticipating the euro dollar rate will stay confined to a narrow range as global growth and policy risks influence currency markets.

UBS doubts yen rebound after Bank of Japan rate hike

UBS believes the Bank of Japan's latest rate hike is unlikely to spark a sustained rise in the yen against the US dollar, citing cautious central bank messaging and a divided board.

NatWest appoints Harsh Agarwal to lead customer experience transformation

NatWest has named Harsh Agarwal as managing director of customer experience and engagement, charging him with unifying the bank's digital and segment strategies following a series of high-profile leadership changes.

Nigerian Naira outlook brightens as oil revenues and high yields fuel gains

Goldman Sachs has raised its forecasts for the Nigerian Naira, pointing to strong oil receipts, elevated local yields, and persistent undervaluation as the main drivers of further appreciation against the US dollar over the coming year.

BNG completes core banking overhaul as Amir Arooni exits leadership

Bank Nederlandse Gemeenten has completed a sweeping core banking and cloud migration in under a year, closing the chapter on Amir Arooni's interim leadership and welcoming a new permanent CIO.

How banks are building stablecoins under new European rules

European banks face a complex path to launching stablecoins as new digital euro rules demand tough choices on legal structure, technology, and compliance. This guide breaks down the practical steps and risks for institutions entering the digital money race.

Enova abandons Grasshopper Bank deal after regulatory impasse

Enova has called off its $369 million bid for Grasshopper Bancorp, withdrawing regulatory applications and signaling a move away from pursuing a bank holding company charter. The decision spotlights persistent regulatory uncertainty for nonbank lenders seeking entry into the banking sector.

US Leading Economic Index Falls in August, Surprising Forecasters

The Conference Board's leading US economic index slipped by 0.1 percent in August, the first drop since March and a surprise to analysts who expected a small gain.

UBS Reopens Long Euro-Dollar Trade as Central Bank Moves Shift Market Outlook

UBS has re-entered a long EUR/USD position at 1.1475, aiming for 1.17 with a stop at 1.13, citing central bank policy changes as the main reason for its renewed trade.

Uganda Shilling Nears Record Low as Dollar Demand Rises

Uganda's shilling is under renewed strain as commercial banks quote weaker rates and businesses rush to secure dollars, putting the currency at risk of hitting its lowest level ever against the US dollar amid ongoing uncertainty in Iran.

Swiss Franc Under Pressure as Yield Gap with Euro Widens

UBS warns the Swiss franc could weaken further against the euro as low yields and diverging central bank policies push EURCHF higher. If the Swiss National Bank keeps rates steady, a move toward 0.96 is possible.

Swiss Franc Becomes New Favorite for Low-Cost Borrowing

With Swiss rates at zero and Japan preparing for possible hikes, investors are turning to the franc as a funding currency. Rabobank sees limited gains for USDCHF but warns of risks if safe haven demand returns.

Norwegian Krone Hits Resistance as Citi Closes Out NOK/SEK Trade

Citi has exited its Norwegian krone versus Swedish krona position as the pair nears a long-standing resistance level, but the bank still sees NOK/SEK as a key gauge for energy market shifts and regional risk.

Pound Sterling Falls After UK Payrolls Drop, Rate Hike Bets Fade

A sharper-than-expected drop in UK payrolls has pushed the Pound lower against the Euro and US Dollar, raising questions about the Bank of England's next move on interest rates ahead of new inflation data.

Danish Krone Weakness Driven by Outflows, Not Peg Instability

The Danish krone has slipped against the euro, but Bank of America argues this move is driven by temporary capital flows rather than any threat to Denmark's currency peg. The bank sees intervention risks but expects the peg to hold.

Dollar Stalls Despite Fed Rate Hike Bets as Market Doubts Persist

Despite strong expectations for further Federal Reserve rate hikes, Bank of America forecasts the US dollar will remain rangebound through the end of the year as mixed policy signals and global repricing undermine its momentum

Dollar Index Rises as Central Banks Signal Rate Moves

The US dollar has reached its highest point in nearly two weeks as traders anticipate a Federal Reserve rate hike. Oil supply disruptions and persistent inflation are reshaping currency markets ahead of major central bank meetings.

Euro-Dollar Exchange Rate Faces Crucial Test After Fed Decision

The euro may approach its summer highs if the Federal Reserve signals a softer stance, but ongoing geopolitical and energy risks could limit the dollar's decline and keep the EUR/USD outlook uncertain.