European Central Bank
35 articles
Why Financial Stress Tests May Not Reveal True Institutional Risks
Banks routinely test capital, liquidity, and cyber resilience, but these exercises may not capture how institutions actually perform under real-world pressure, raising questions about operational readiness and decision-making in crisis scenarios
US Dollar Holds Near Highs as Inflation Data Delays Rate Cut Hopes
The US dollar remains close to a one-week high after July's inflation figures exceeded forecasts, reinforcing expectations that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates elevated. Markets now await signals from central bank leaders at Jackson Hole
Australian Dollar Rises as Inflation Surprises, US Dollar Holds Steady
Australia's dollar climbed to a near three-month high after inflation data exceeded forecasts, prompting speculation about further rate hikes. Meanwhile, the US dollar remained stable as markets awaited key US inflation figures and central bank signals
Dollar Faces Ongoing Pressure Ahead of Warsh's Jackson Hole Speech
Citi expects the US dollar's recent weakness to persist despite upcoming remarks from Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh at Jackson Hole, citing valuation and market positioning as key risks rather than a sudden policy shift
Euro to Dollar Outlook: Trendline Break Signals Further Gains Possible
The euro has broken its year-long downtrend against the US dollar, trading above key technical levels. Analysts expect a period of consolidation before the next move, with inflation data and central bank signals in focus.
Euro to Dollar Forecast Revised as US Debt Concerns Weigh on USD
Analysts at Rabobank have raised their short-term outlook for the euro against the US dollar, bringing forward their 1.18 EUR/USD target as worries over US government debt and Treasury markets put pressure on the dollar's safe-haven status
EUR/USD Outlook Rises as Policy Gap Widens Between Fed and ECB
UBS has raised its EUR/USD target to 1.20, citing diverging monetary policies as the Federal Reserve signals a pause while the European Central Bank leans toward further tightening. The shift could influence currency costs and international payments.
Sterling's Yield Edge Drives Pound Higher Against Euro
The British pound is forecast to gain further ground against the euro as investors respond to its yield advantage and recent economic stability, but political risks and European recovery could still alter the outlook
Pound Holds Ground as UK Inflation Matches Expectations
Sterling remained steady after UK inflation data for July aligned with forecasts, easing immediate pressure on the Bank of England to raise rates despite concerns over future energy costs and price trends
Pound Weakens Against Euro as ECB Rate Outlook Holds Firm
The British pound slipped against the euro after UK inflation data failed to boost Sterling, while persistent Eurozone price pressures reinforced expectations that the European Central Bank could maintain a tighter policy stance.
Euro Edges Higher Against Pound as UK Labour Market Softens
The Euro to Pound exchange rate is approaching ING's 0.8570 target as UK employment and wage growth slow, raising questions about further Bank of England rate hikes and Sterling's near-term support
Pound Sterling Climbs Against Dollar as US Yields Slide
The British Pound reached a new August high versus the US Dollar after a sharp drop in US Treasury yields, while its performance against other major currencies remained mixed, reflecting diverging economic signals and central bank expectations
German ZEW Confidence Jump Fuels ECB Rate Hike Debate
A sharp rise in Germany's ZEW expectations index has renewed hopes for economic recovery in Europe and intensified the discussion over whether the European Central Bank will raise interest rates again in the coming months
Pound Faces Pressure as UK Wage Growth Slows Against Euro
The pound's outlook against the euro is under renewed scrutiny as UK wage growth loses momentum, raising doubts about further Bank of England rate hikes and increasing the risk of sterling weakness in the coming months.
Polish Zloty Expected to Strengthen as Dollar Weakens in Late 2026
Bank of America forecasts the Polish zloty will gain ground against major currencies from the fourth quarter, as the US dollar is expected to lose strength. The outlook highlights key policy factors and intervention risks for PLN watchers.
Euro to Dollar Gains Face Limits as Uncertainty Persists
The euro has rebounded against the US dollar but faces obstacles to further appreciation, with Bank of America highlighting energy costs and geopolitical risks as key factors restraining the EUR/USD outlook in the coming months
Pound Rises as Weak US Retail Data Weighs on Dollar Outlook
Sterling advanced against the US dollar after disappointing US retail sales figures reduced expectations for a Federal Reserve rate hike, shifting market focus to upcoming UK and eurozone data that could influence currency direction
US Treasury Yields Steady as Dovish Data Meets Gulf Supply Risks
US government bond yields remain in a narrow range as softer economic data reduces expectations for further Federal Reserve rate hikes, while ongoing tensions in the Persian Gulf keep energy prices and inflation risks elevated
Euro to Dollar Faces Key Test as Recovery Meets Resistance
The euro has climbed to its strongest level against the US dollar since June, but the next few days will determine if the recovery can hold above a crucial technical barrier as Eurozone data and ECB policy expectations come into focus
Revolut Gains French Banking Licence as Bunq Faces US Setback
Major developments in global banking this week include Revolut's full French licence, Bunq's US charter rejection, Bank of America's $1.9bn move into India, and a $1.44bn sale of Moneris in Canada, with executive changes at NAB also in focus
Pound Sterling Holds Near 1.35 as UK Growth Data Fails to Convince
Sterling remains close to 1.35 against the US dollar after UK GDP growth outpaces expectations, but uneven gains and cautious market sentiment highlight ongoing risks from inflation, energy prices, and global economic uncertainty
Euro-Dollar Rate Faces Prolonged Volatility as Fed Bets Shift
The Euro to US Dollar exchange rate is expected to remain volatile between 1.15 and 1.16 in the coming months, as shifting Federal Reserve expectations and ongoing geopolitical risks keep both currencies under pressure
Pound Faces Pressure as Eurozone Data Fuels ECB Rate Hike Bets
The Pound to Euro exchange rate slipped as robust Eurozone industrial and employment data increased expectations of a European Central Bank rate hike, overshadowing steady UK growth and leaving Sterling exposed to further declines.
Euro Faces Political Uncertainty as France's 2027 Election Looms
France's 2027 presidential election is emerging as a major risk for the euro, with new analysis highlighting the potential for significant shifts in fiscal policy and European relations depending on the outcome
German Bond Yields Steady as Energy Tensions Offset US Disinflation
German government bond yields diverged this week as energy market disruptions and persistent inflation in Germany clashed with easing global rate expectations, leaving investors weighing risks across the yield curve
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